Preliminary results - 12 months ended 31 December 2005

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Appendix A2

FRS 27 disclosures

Capital statement

FRS 27 requires us to produce a capital statement which sets out the financial strength of our Group entities and provides an analysis of the disposition and constraints over the availability of capital to meet risks and regulatory requirements. The capital statement also provides a reconciliation of shareholders’ funds to regulatory capital.

The analysis below sets out the Group’s available capital resources.

Available capital resources

  2005 2004
  CGNU
with-profit
fund
£m
CULAC
with-profit
fund
£m
NUL&P
with-profit
fund3
£m
Total UK life
with-profit
funds
£m
Other UK
life
ops
£m
Total UK
life
ops
£m
Overseas
life
ops
£m
Total life
ops
£m
Other
ops4
£m
Total
£m
Total
£m
  1. Other sources of capital include subordinated debt of £2,808 million issued by Aviva and £119 million subordinated perpetual loan notes issued by a Dutch subsidiary undertaking
  2. Including adjustments for minorities
  3. Includes the PM with-profit fund
  4. Other operations includes general insurance and fund management business
                       
Total shareholders’ funds 25 22 24 71 2,515 2,586 6,129 8,715 2,377 11,092 8,993
Total other sources of capital1 - - - - - - 133 133 2,808 2,941 3,016
Unallocated divisible surplus 1,871 1,872 1,633 5,376 - 5,376 3,602 8,978 - 8,978 7,549
                       
Adjustments onto a regulatory basis:                      
Shareholders’ share of accrued bonus (74) (78) (548) (700) - (700) - (700) - (700) (570)
Goodwill, acquired value of in-force long-term business and intangibles - - - - (56) (56) (798) (854) (2,223) (3,077) (1,700)
Regulatory valuation and admissibility restrictions2 281 125 140 546 (1,221) (675) (3,991) (4,666) (953) (5,619) (4,507)
Total available capital 2,103 1,941 1,249 5,293 1,238 6,531 5,075 11,606 2,009 13,615 12,781
                       
Analysis of liabilities:                      
Participating insurance liabilities 8,691 9,475 19,646 37,812 - 37,812 22,146 59,958 - 59,958 58,304
Unit-linked liabilities 3,201 51 - 3,252 2,692 5,944 12,055 17,999 - 17,999 15,227
Other non-participating life insurance 1,002 1,821 756 3,579 18,116 21,695 14,524 36,219 - 36,219 32,798
Total insurance liabilities 12,894 11,347 20,402 44,643 20,808 65,451 48,725 114,176 - 114,176 106,329
Participating investment liabilities 4,661 2,761 7,986 15,408 - 15,408 31,850 47,258 - 47,258 43,974
Non-participating investment liabilities 10,430 1,099 3,755 15,284 2,664 17,948 12,103 30,051 - 30,051 25,581
Total investment liabilities 15,091 3,860 11,741 30,692 2,664 33,356 43,953 77,309 - 77,309 69,555
Total liabilities 27,985 15,207 32,143 75,335 23,472 98,807 92,678 191,485 - 191,485 175,884

Analysis of movements in capital

For the year ended 31 December 2005

  CGNU with profit
fund
£m
CULAC with profit
fund
£m
NUL&P with profit
fund
£m
Total UK
life with profit
funds
£m
Other UK life
operations
£m
Total UK life
operations
£m
Overseas life
operations
£m
Total life
operations
£m
  1. Includes movement in: outstanding claims provision; other technical provision; and obligations to staff pension schemes transferred to provisions.
                 
Opening available capital 1,695 1,633 1,208 4,536 1,433 5,969 4,523 10,492
                 
                 
Movement in liabilities (4,671) (400) 800 (4,271) (4,184) (8,455) (7,238) (15,693)
                 
Other movements in capital1 5,079 708 (759) 5,028 3,989 9,017 7,790 16,807
                 
Closing available capital resources 2,103 1,941 1,249 5,293 1,238 6,531 5,075 11,606

The main drivers of the variance between actual and expected liability movements are reductions in valuation interest rates for traditional contracts and strong investment returns for unit-linked business. Other movements in capital reflect cashflows for premiums received, benefits paid and the investment return on assets held. This movement also includes the change in the regulatory adjustments and regulatory rules. The only regulatory rule changes having significant impact in the year are a change in the basis for inclusion of non-insurance subsidiaries from market value to a surplus assets basis, and new rules relating to the recognition of pension deficits, requiring a charge to be made based on anticipated additional payments over the next five years instead of the inclusion of the full scheme deficit.

In aggregate, the Group has at its disposal total available capital of £13.6 billion (2004: £12.8 billion), representing the aggregation of the solvency capital of all of our businesses. This capital is available to meet risks and regulatory requirements set by reference to local guidance and EU directives.

After effecting the year end transfer to shareholders the UK with-profit funds’ available capital of £5.2 billion (2004: £4.5 billion) can only be used to provide support for UK with-profits business and is not available to cover other shareholder risks. This is comfortably in excess of the required capital margin and, therefore, the shareholders are not required to provide further capital support to this business.

For the remaining life and general insurance operations, the total available capital amounting to £8.3 billion (2004: £8.3 billion) is significantly higher than the minimum requirements established by regulators and, in principle, the excess is available to shareholders. In practice, management will hold higher levels of capital within each business operation to provide appropriate cover for risk.

As the total available capital of £13.6 billion is arrived at on the basis of local regulatory guidance, which evaluates assets and liabilities prudently, it understates the economic capital of the business which is considerably higher. This is a limitation of the Group Capital Statement which, to be more meaningful, needs to evaluate available capital on an economic basis and compare it with the risk capital required for each individual operation, after allowing for the considerable diversification benefits that exist in our Group.

Within the Aviva group there exist intra-group arrangements to provide capital to particular business units. Included within these arrangements is a subordinated loan of £200 million from Aviva plc to the NUL&P non-profit fund to provide capital to support the writing of new business.

The available capital of the Group’s with-profit funds is determined in accordance with the “Realistic balance sheet” regime prescribed by the FSA’s regulations, under which liabilities to policyholders include both declared bonuses and the constructive obligation for future bonuses not yet declared. The available capital resources include an estimate of the value of their respective estates, included as part of the unallocated divisible surplus. The estate represents the surplus in the fund that is in excess of any constructive obligation to policyholders. It represents capital resources of the individual with-profit fund to which it relates and is available to meet regulatory and other solvency requirements of the fund and, in certain circumstances, additional liabilities may arise.

The liabilities included in the balance sheet for the with-profit funds do not include the amount representing the shareholders’ portion of future bonuses. However, the shareholders’ portion is treated as a deduction from capital that is available to meet regulatory requirements and is therefore shown as a separate adjustment in the capital statement.

In accordance with the FSA’s regulatory rules under its realistic capital regime, the Group is required to hold sufficient capital in its UK life with-profit funds to meet the FSA capital requirements, based on the risk capital margin (RCM). The determination of the RCM depends on various actuarial and other assumptions about potential changes in market prices, and the actions management would take in the event of particular adverse changes in market conditions.

  31 December 2005   31 December 2004
  Realistic
assets
£bn
Realistic
liabilities
£bn
Realistic
orphan
estate
£bn
Required
capital
margin
£bn
Excess
£bn
  Excess
£bn
  1. These realistic liabilities include the shareholders’ share of future bonuses of £0.7 billion (31 December 2004: £0.5 billion). Realistic liabilities adjusted to eliminate the shareholders’ share of future bonuses are £50.5 billion (31 December 2004: £47 billion).
  2. These realistic liabilities make provision for guarantees and promises on a market consistent stochastic basis. The value of the provision included within the realistic liabilities is £0.7 billion, £0.9 billion and £3.4 billion for CGNU Life, CULAC and NUL&P, respectively (31 December 2004: £0.6 billion, £0.9 billion and £3.3 billion for CGNU Life, CULAC and NUL&P respectively).
  3. The required capital margin (RCM) is 2.7 times covered by the orphan estate (31 December 2004: 2.6 times).
               
CGNU Life 14.0 (11.9) 2.1 0.5 1.6   1.4
CULAC 14.0 (12.1) 1.9 0.6 1.3   1.2
NUL&P 25.9 (24.7) 1.2 0.8 0.4   0.2
PM 2.5 (2.5) - - -   -
Aggregate 56.4 (51.2) 5.2 1.9 3.3   2.8

For UK non-participating business, the relevant capital requirement is the minimum solvency requirement determined in accordance with FSA regulations. For overseas life businesses, the amount shown is the minimum requirement under the locally applicable regulatory regimes.

For UK and overseas general insurance businesses, the relevant capital requirement is the minimum solvency requirement determined in accordance with the local regulator’s requirements.

For fund management and other businesses, the relevant capital requirement is the minimum solvency requirement determined in accordance with the local regulator’s requirements for the specific class of business.

The available capital resources in each regulated entity are generally subject to restrictions as to their availability to meet requirements that may arise elsewhere in the Group. The principal restrictions are:

  1. UK with-profit funds (CGNU Life, CULAC and NUL&P) - any available surplus held in each fund can only be used to meet the requirements of the fund itself or be distributed to policyholders and shareholders. With-profit policyholders are entitled to at least 90% of the distributed profits while the shareholders receive the balance. The latter distribution would be subject to a tax charge, which is met by the fund in the case of CGNU Life, CULAC and NUL&P.
  2. UK non-participating funds – any available surplus held in these is attributable to shareholders. Capital within the non-profit funds may be made available to meet requirements elsewhere in the Group subject to meeting the regulatory requirements of the fund. Any transfer of the surplus may give rise to a tax charge subject to availability of tax relief elsewhere in the Group.
  3. Overseas life operations – the capital requirements and corresponding regulatory capital held by overseas businesses are calculated using the locally applicable regulatory regime. The available capital resources in all these businesses are subject to local regulatory restrictions which may constrain management’s ability to utilise these in other parts of the Group. Any transfer of available capital may give rise to a tax charge subject to availability of tax relief elsewhere in the Group.
  4. General insurance operations – the capital requirements and corresponding regulatory capital held by overseas businesses are calculated using the locally applicable regulatory regime. The available capital resources in all these businesses are subject to local regulatory restrictions which may constrain management’s ability to utilise these in other parts of the Group. Any transfer of available capital may give rise to a tax charge, subject to availability of tax relief elsewhere in the Group.

Financial guarantees and options

As a normal part of their operating activities, various Group companies have given guarantees and options, including investment return guarantees, in respect of certain long-term insurance and fund management products.

(a) UK Life with-profits business

In the UK, life insurers are required to comply with the FSA’s realistic reporting regime for their with-profit funds for the calculation of FSA liabilities. Under the FSA’s rules, provision for guarantees and options within realistic liabilities must be measured at fair value, using market-consistent stochastic models. A stochastic approach includes measuring the time value of guarantees and options, which represents the additional cost arising from uncertainty surrounding future economic conditions.

The material guarantees and options to which this provision relates are:

  1. Maturity value guarantees – Substantially all of the conventional with-profit business and a significant proportion of unitised with-profit business have minimum maturity values reflecting the sums assured plus declared annual bonus. In addition, the guarantee fund has offered maturity value guarantees on certain unit-linked products.
  2. No market valuation reduction (MVR) guarantees – For unitised business, there are a number of circumstances where a “no MVR” guarantee is applied, for example on certain policy anniversaries, guaranteeing that no market value reduction will be applied to reflect the difference between the guaranteed value of the policy and the market value of the underlying assets.
  3. Guaranteed annuity options – The Group’s UK with-profit funds have written individual and group pensions which contain guaranteed annuity rate options (GAOs), where the policyholder has the option to take the benefits from a policy in the form of an annuity based on guaranteed conversion rates. The Group also has exposure to GAOs and similar options on deferred annuities.
  4. Guaranteed minimum pension – The Group’s UK with-profit funds also have certain policies which contain a guaranteed minimum level of pensions as part of the condition of the original transfer from state benefits to the policy.

In addition, while these do not constitute guarantees, the Group has made promises to certain policyholders, in relation to their mortgage endowments, that payments on these policies will meet the mortgage value, provided investment returns exceed 6% per annum net of tax between 1 January 2000 and maturity and the investment returns on the free reserves are sufficient to meet the top-up costs.

(b) UK Life non-profit business

The Group’s UK non-profit funds are not subject to the requirements of the FSA’s realistic reporting regime and, therefore, liabilities are evaluated by reference to local statutory reserving rules.

  1. Guaranteed annuity options – Similar options to those written in the with-profit fund have been written in relation to non profit products. Provision for these guarantees does not materially differ from a provision based on a market-consistent stochastic model, and amounts to £44 million at 31 December 2005 (2004: £47 million).
  2. Guaranteed unit price on certain products – Certain unit-linked pension products linked to long-term life insurance funds provide policyholders with guaranteed benefits at retirement or death. No additional provision is made for this guarantee as the investment management strategy for these funds is designed to ensure that the guarantee can be met from the fund, mitigating the impact of large falls in investment values and interest rates.

(c) Overseas life businesses

In addition to guarantees written within the Group’s UK life businesses, our overseas businesses have also written contracts containing guarantees and options. Details of the significant guarantees and options provided by overseas life businesses are set out below.

(i) France

Guaranteed surrender value and guaranteed minimum bonuses
Aviva France has written a number of contracts with such guarantees. The guaranteed surrender value is the accumulated value of the contract including accrued bonuses. Bonuses are based on accounting income from amortised bond portfolios, where the duration of bond portfolios is set in relation to the expected duration of the policies, plus income and releases from realised gains on equity-type investments. Policy reserves are equal to guaranteed surrender values. Local statutory accounting envisages the establishment of a reserve, “Provision pour Aléas Financiers” (PAF), when accounting income is less than 125% of guaranteed minimum credited returns. A PAF of £16 million was established at the end of 2005.

The most significant of these contracts is the AFER Euro fund which has total liabilities of £22 billion at 31 December 2005 (2004: £21 billion). The guaranteed bonus on this contract equals 65% of the average of the last two years’ declared bonus rates (or 60% of the TME index rates if higher) and was 3.51% for 2005 (2004: 3.69%) compared with an accounting income from the fund of 4.91% (2004: 5.25%).

Non-AFER contracts with guaranteed surrender values had liabilities of £7 billion (2004: £6 billion) at 31 December 2005 and guaranteed annual bonus rates are between 0% and 4.5% on 97.8% of liabilities. There are higher guarantees in force on some older policies including a small number of policies with a guarantee of 8.5%. For non-AFER business, the accounting income return exceeded guaranteed bonus rates in 2005.

Guaranteed death and maturity benefits
In France, the Group has also sold unit-linked policies where the death and/or maturity benefit is guaranteed to be at least equal to the premiums paid. The reserve held in the Group’s consolidated balance sheet at the end of 2005 for this guarantee is £14 million (2004: £17 million). The reserve is calculated on a prudent basis and is in excess of the economic liability. At the end of 2005, total sums at risk for these contracts were £73 million (2004: £182 million) out of total unit-linked funds of £8 billion (2004: £6 billion). The average age of policyholders was approximately 53. It is estimated that the economic liability would increase by £1 million (2004: £2 million) if yields were to increase by 1% per annum and by £0.1 million (2004: £1 million) if equity markets were to decline by 10% from year end 2005 levels. These figures do not reflect our ability to review the charges for this option.

(ii) Netherlands

Guaranteed minimum return at maturity
In the Netherlands, it is market practice to guarantee a minimum return at maturity on traditional savings and pensions contracts. Guarantees on older lines of business are 4% per annum while, for business written since 1 September 1999, the guarantee is 3% per annum. On group pensions business, it is often possible to recapture guarantee costs through adjustments to surrender values or to premium rates.

On transition to IFRS, Delta Lloyd changed the reserving basis for most traditional contracts to reflect current market interest rates, for consistency with the reporting of assets at market value. The cost of meeting interest rate guarantees is allowed for directly in the liabilities.

The total liabilities for traditional business at 31 December 2005 are £8 billion (2004: £8 billion) analysed as follows:

  Liabilities 3% guarantee 31 December 2005
£m
Restated1 liabilities 3% guarantee
31 December 2004
£m
Liabilities 4% guarantee
31 December 2005
£m
Restated1 liabilities 4% guarantee
31 December 2004
£m
  1. Restated to reflect the move to the active liability basis under IFRS
Individual 1,210 1,098 3,112 3,169
Group pensions 412 263 3,175 3,695
Total 1,622 1,361 6,287 6,864

Delta Lloyd has certain unit-linked contracts which provide a guaranteed minimum return at maturity from 4% pa to 2% pa. Provisions consist of unit values plus an additional reserve for the guarantee. The additional provision for the guarantee was £127 million (2004: £118 million). An additional provision of £77 million (2004: £27 million) in respect of investment return guarantees on group segregated fund business is held. It is estimated that the provision would increase by £293 million (2004: £234 million) if yields were to reduce by 1% pa and by £44 million (2004: £49 million) if equity markets were to decline by 10% from year end 2005 levels.

(iii) Ireland

Guaranteed annuity options
Products with similar GAOs to those offered in the UK have been issued in Ireland. The current net of reinsurance provision for such options is £145 million (2004: £125 million). This has been calculated on a deterministic basis, making conservative assumptions for the factors which influence the cost of the guarantee, principally annuitant mortality and long-term interest rates.

These GAOs are “in the money” at current interest rates but the exposure to interest rates under these contracts has been hedged through the use of reinsurance, using derivatives (swaptions). The swaptions effectively guarantee that an interest rate of 5% will be available at the vesting date of these benefits so there is no exposure to a further decrease in interest rates.

“No MVR” guarantees
Certain unitised with-profit policies containing “no MVR” guarantees, similar to those in the UK, have been sold in Ireland. These guarantees are currently out-of-the-money by £84 million (2004: £79 million). This has been calculated on a deterministic basis as the excess of the current policy surrender value over the discounted value (excluding terminal bonus) of the guarantees. The value of these guarantees is sensitive to the performance of investments held in the with-profit fund. Amounts payable under these guarantees are determined by the bonuses declared on these policies. It is estimated that the guarantees would be out-of-the-money by £74 million (2004: £80 million) if yields were to increase by 1% per annum and by £39 million (2004: £40 million) if equity markets were to decline by 10% from year end 2005 levels.

Return of premium guarantee
In 2005 Hibernian Life has written two tranches of linked bonds with a return of premium guarantee after 5 or 6 years. The provision for these at the end of 2005 is £3 million. It is expected that the provision would increase by £4 million if equity markets were to decline by 10% from year end 2005 levels. We would not expect any significant impact on this provision as a result of interest movements.

(iv) Spain and Italy

Guaranteed investment returns and guaranteed surrender values
The Group has also written contracts containing guaranteed investment returns and guaranteed surrender values in both Spain and Italy, where traditional profit-sharing products receive an appropriate share of the investment return, assessed on a book value basis, subject to a guaranteed minimum annual return of up to 6% in Spain and 4% in Italy. Liabilities are generally taken as the face value of the contract plus, if required, an explicit provision for guarantees calculated in accordance with local regulations. At 31 December 2005, total liabilities for the Spanish business were £2 billion (2004: £2 billion) with a further reserve of £20 million (2004: £13 million) for guarantees. Total liabilities for the Italian business were £4 billion (2004: £4 billion), with a further provision of £55 million (2004: £49 million) for guarantees. Liabilities are most sensitive to changes in the level of interest rates. It is estimated that provisions for guarantees would need to increase by £66 million (2004: £56 million) in Spain and £12 million (2004: £14 million) in Italy if interest rates fell by 1% from end 2005 values. Under this sensitivity test, the guarantee provision in Spain is calculated conservatively, assuming a long-term market interest rate of 1.68% and no lapses or premium discontinuances.

(d) In providing these guarantees and options, the Group’s capital position is sensitive to fluctuations in financial variables including foreign currency exchange rates, interest rates, real estate prices and equity prices. Interest rate guaranteed returns, such as those available on guaranteed annuity options (GAOs), are sensitive to interest rates falling below the guaranteed level. Other guarantees, such as maturity value guarantees and guarantees in relation to minimum rates of return, are sensitive to fluctuations in the investment return below the level assumed when the guarantee was made.

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